Monday, September 26, 2005

Government: Operation Offset - a Detailed Analysis

The Republican Study Committee has a paper outlining their proposed budget cuts to pay for the Katrina relief efforts. I had to do an analysis of it for my job, and let me tell you, whoever compiled this is nuts.

Dubbed "Operation Offset," (seriously, I can't make stuff up that silly) it is estimated that the plan could save over $949 billion over 10 years.

They sort their proposed cuts by Title, which is an appropriations law thing which approximately 18 people in this country understand. This is an obvious attempt to obfuscate the true impact of the proposed cuts. So I re-sorted their cuts by category: Health Care, Anti-Poverty, Environmental Protection, Defense, etc. And low and behold, it turns out that the Republican Study Committee wants to cut billions of dollars from the poor and elderly and a token amount from Defense, Farm Subsidies, and Corporate Subsidies.

What follows is my chart, a brief analysis, and some commentary...


In millions of dollars - so add six zeroes to the end of each number.


As you can see, the proposed cuts come mostly out of Health Care, Anti-Poverty programs, Research, and Environmental Protection. Notable cuts include:
  • Eliminating Subsidized Loans to Graduate Students
  • Eliminate Fiscal Assistance to District of Columbia
  • Auditing the (poverty level) recipients of the Earned Income Tax Credit
  • Increasing Medicaid Co-payments
  • Increase Medicare Premiums
  • Lower funding for the Global AIDS Initiative
  • Lower funding for the Peace Corps
  • Lower funding for Amtrak
  • Eliminate funding for next generation high-speed rail service
  • Eliminate the Minority Business Development Agency
  • Eliminate the State grants for Drug-Free Schools
  • Eliminate public funding of Presidential elections
  • Eliminate funding for the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (PBS)
  • Paying immigrant wages for government contracting (Davis-Bacon Coverage)
  • Eliminate funding for the National Endowment for the Arts
  • Lower funding for the Centers for Disease Control
  • Eliminate funding for various forms of renewable energy research
This list basically speaks for itself. Why do Republicans hate Big Bird (PBS), seniors (Medicaid), working people (Davis-Bacon), and New Orleans (environmental cuts)?

90% of the cuts are scheduled to come in budget years 2-10. As every Congressman knows, spending cuts only occur if the program is eliminated or if the cut is for the next fiscal year. Five and ten year budget projections are worthless - unless the cut permanently alters a funding formula (which their proposals do in a few instances - such as screwing the poor and elderly by raising their health care costs).

And if you dig into the numbers, you'll notice that cuts to defense and government pork are relatively small and temporary compared to the permanent, institutional cuts to health care, anti-poverty programs, mass transit, environmental programs, etc.

The most insulting accounting chicanery is the "Delay the Medicare Prescription Drug Bill for one year," which is not a spending cut at all, but rather just one year delay in massive spending, which accounts for $30 billion worth of their proposed "cuts."

The plan is also entirely devoid of "revenue side" increases - i.e., delaying the President's tax cuts on the top income brackets, or on inherited estates, etc.

Having said that, the plan does have a few laudable cuts, such as skipping this year's automatic annual pay raise for Congressmen and Senators, and some minor cuts to corporate subsidies.

And the quote on the cover is amusing:

"Give us a quiet room, copies of the spending bills, a box of red pencils, and watch what happens."
-Constituent from New Mexico

I think that pretty much sums up the perspective of a lot of Americans. Government = Bad. Of course, the moment something needs to be done - a road, a hospital, a school, a disaster - well then, we should have been prepared for it years ago. Or if their job, community, or state is somehow helped by the program. Sigh.


Here's the my full break down by category, for the interested. Again, these are millions of dollars, so add six zeros to the end of each number.

Republican Study Committee - "Operation Offset" Cuts by Category






Description 2006 5-Yr. Savings 10-Yr. Savings
Health Care


Delay the Medicare Prescription Drug Bill for One year -$30,800 -$30,800 -$30,800
Reduce Medicaid Administrative Spending -$600 -$4,230 -$12,860
Increase Allowable Co-pays in Medicaid -$90 -$1,970 -$7,730
Block Grant Medicaid Acute Services -$2,300 -$44,000 -$225,000
Increase Medicare Part B Premium from 25% to 30% -$4,650 -$33,500 -$84,770
Restructure Medicare's Cost-Sharing Requirement -$4,750 -$34,230 -$87,460
Impose a Home Health Co-payment of 10% -$1,470 -$11,800 -$31,480
Eliminate Teen Funding Portion of Title X Family Planning -$95 -$511 -$1,322
End the Redistribution of Unused Federal Funds from SCHIP -$20 -$350 -$1,140
Eliminate Childless Adult Coverage in SCHIP n/a -$330 -$660
Eliminate Funding for Penile Implants Under Medicare n/a -$4 -$8
Level Funding for Community Health Centers -$100 -$538 -$1,392
Total Health Care Cuts -$44,875 -$162,263 -$484,622




Anti Poverty Programs


Eliminate State and Community Grants for Energy Conservation -$36 -$223 -$479
Drop Wealthy Communities from CDBG -$837 -$4,330 -$9,064
Convert Rural Community Advancement Program to State Revolving Funds -$12 -$194 -$4,517
Eliminate the Neighborhood Reinvestment Corporation -$116 -$600 -$1,257
Eliminate the Community Development Financial Institutions Fund -$52 -$270 -$566
Eliminate the Economic Development Administration -$201 -$1,081 -$2,797
Eliminate the Minority Business Development Agency -$30 -$161 -$417
Eliminate the Even Start Program -$114 -$592 -$1,238
Eliminate Funding for the National and Community Service Act -$560 -$3,000 -$6,480
Tie Rent Subsidies for One Person to Cost of Efficiency Apartments -$62 -$894 -$3,146
Eliminate School Lunches for Students Above 350% of Poverty -$125 -$3,150 -$6,690
Remove Ceiling for Collecting Overpayments from SSI -$70 -$425 -$920
Verify Income of Earned Income Tax Credit Participants -$8,500 -$42,500 -$85,000
Eliminate Rural Empowerment Zone Grant -$10 -$54 -$139
Eliminate the Denali Commission -$3 -$16 -$42
Eliminate Native Hawaiian Funding -$40 -$215 -$557
Impose a Fee on the GSEs Investment Portfolio -$1,624 -$8,762 -$19,885
Require GSEs to Register with the SEC and Pay Fees -$490 -$1,250 -$2,710
Raise the Threshold for Davis-Bacon Coverage -$200 -$1,025 -$2,130
Total Anti-Poverty Cuts -$13,082 -$68,742 -$148,034




Scientific Research


Cancel NASA's New Moon/Mars Initiative -$1,493 -$11,511 -$44,042
Eliminate the Science to Achieve Results Program -$90 -$472 -$1,007
Reduce Funding for the Centers for Disease Control -$1,797 -$9,668 -$25,006
Reduce Funding for the Agriculture Research Service -$62 -$334 -$863
Eliminate the Applied Research for Renewable Energy Sources Program -$314 -$1,959 -$4,202
Eliminate the Research Initiative for Future Agriculture Systems -$300 -$1,100 -$2,100
Eliminate the Advanced Technology Program -$139 -$721 -$1,523
Total Scientific Research Cuts -$4,195 -$25,765 -$78,743




Environmental Protection


Scale Back the Conservation Security Program -$58 -$2,216 -$6,676
Limit Future Enrollment in the Conservation Reserve Program -$14 -$1,910 -$5,285
Eliminate the National Parks Heritage Areas and Statutory Aid -$26 -$134 -$280
Eliminate Federal Grants for Wastewater Infrastructure -$950 -$9,899 -$23,332
Eliminate the Energy Star Program -$75 -$391 -$835
Eliminate the Essential Air Service -$103 -$525 -$1,075
Reduce Bureau of Land Management Construction -$6 -$32 -$83
Reduce Fish and Wildlife Construction -$26 -$140 -$362
Eliminate Funding for the Forest Service’s Economic Action Program -$10 -$54 -$139
Reduce Funds for the Water Quality Cooperative Agreement -$15 -$81 -$209
Reduce Funds for Forest Service Capital Improvements -$60 -$323 -$835
Reduce Funds for the NCRS Operations -$26 -$140 -$362
Reduce Funds for Waste Disposal Grants -$116 -$624 -$1,614
Reduce DOE Environmental Management -$400 -$2,152 -$5,566
Level Funding DOE Departmental Administration Funding -$15 -$81 -$209
Eliminate the Clean Coal Technology Program -$50 -$259 -$543
Eliminate the FreedomCAR Program -$163 -$845 -$1,774
Eliminate the Hydrogen Fuel Initiative -$183 -$985 -$2,547
Total Environmental Protection Cuts -$2,296 -$20,791 -$51,726




Transportation


Repeal the Highway Earmarks in TEA-LU -$25,000 -$25,000 -$25,000
Eliminate the Appalachian Regional Commission -$39 -$210 -$543
Reduce Funding for the Airport Improvement Program -$600 -$3,228 -$8,349
Level Funding for FAA Operations -$329 -$1,770 -$4,578
Total Transportation Cuts -$25,968 -$30,208 -$38,470




Foreign Aid


Eliminate US Subscriptions to the European Bank -$36 -$184 -$386
Reduce Economic Assistance to Egypt -$12 -$400 -$1,200
Eliminate Millennium Challenge Accounts -$1,750 -$9,415 -$24,352
Level Funding for Peacekeeping Operations -$93 -$500 -$1,294
Eliminate International Fund for Ireland -$14 -$75 -$195
Level Funding for Global AIDS Initiative -$546 -$2,938 -$7,598
Level Funding for Inter-American Foundation -$2 -$11 -$28
Level Funding for the African Development Foundation -$2 -$11 -$28
Level Funding for the Peace Corps -$8 -$43 -$111
Reduce USAID Operating Expenses -$57 -$307 -$793
Level Funding for the International Development Assoc. -$107 -$576 -$1,489
Level Funding for Asian Development Bank -$16 -$86 -$223
Eliminate Attaché Positions in the Foreign Agricultural Service -$46 -$247 -$640
Total Foreign Aid Cuts -$2,689 -$14,793 -$38,337




Education


Eliminate Subsidized Loans to Graduate Students -$840 -$4,170 -$8,555
Eliminate the National Science Foundation Math and Science Program -$188 -$973 -$2,036
Eliminate the Administration Fees to Schools -$144 -$744 -$1,557
Eliminate the Leveraging Educational Assistance Program -$67 -$345 -$722
Eliminate Federal Funding for the Corporation for Public Broadcasting -$400 -$2,152 -$5,566
Eliminate Funding for the National Endowment for the Arts -$126 -$678 -$1,753
Eliminate Funding for National Endowment for Humanities -$143 -$769 -$1,990
Reduce Funds for Bureau of Indian Affairs School Construction -$36 -$194 -$501
Reduce Funds for Cooperative State Research and Education -$110 -$592 -$1,531
Reduce Funding for Department of Education Administration -$6 -$28 -$57
Total Education Cuts -$2,060 -$10,645 -$24,268




Civil Service & Military Personell


Base New Federal Retiree Health on Length of Service -$130 -$1,560 -$6,330
Update the Formula Used for Federal Pension -$50 -$1,305 -$5,170
Charge Federal Employees for Parking -$140 -$720 -$1,540
Eliminate Legal Services Corporation -$331 -$1,781 -$4,606
United States Postal Service Foregone -$43 -$231 -$598
Close the Domestic Dependent School System $18 -$126 -$788
Introduce HSAs as a TRICARE Option -$20 -$807 -$2,367
Total Civil Service & Military Personell Cuts -$696 -$6,530 -$21,399




Mass Transportation


Reduce Federal Subsidies for Amtrak -$250 -$1,250 -$2,500
Eliminate the Next Generation of High-Speed Rail -$20 -$105 -$220
Eliminate the New Starts Transit Program -$1,204 -$6,055 -$12,200
Total Mass Transportation Cuts -$1,474 -$7,410 -$14,920




Government Administration


Eliminate Fiscal Assistance to District of Columbia -$154 -$800 -$1,675
Require IRS to Deposit Fees Collected by Treasury -$91 -$473 -$989
Eliminate Presidential Election Campaign Fund -$55 -$275 -$550
Decline Member Pay Raise -$2 -$9 -$24
Level Funding for Treasury Departmental Offices -$31 -$167 -$432
Level Funding for the Federal Building Fund -$552 -$2,970 -$7,681
Level Funding for OMB -$9 -$48 -$125
Level Funding for GSA -$108 -$581 -$1,500
Eliminate Money-Losing Timber Sales -$130 -$710 -$1,550
Total Government Administration Cuts -$1,132 -$6,033 -$14,526




Corporate Subsidies


Eliminate the Export-Import Bank and OPIC -$84 -$616 -$1,507
Limit the Repayment Period of Export Credit Guarantees -$147 -$735 -$1,470
Eliminate the ITA's Trade Promotion Activates -$401 -$2,125 -$4,579
Eliminate the Hollings Manufacturing Extension Partnerships -$110 -$573 -$1,210
Repeal the Continued Dumping and Subsidy Offset Act -$1,300 -$3,000 -$4,500
Eliminate the Market Access Program -$3 -$231 -$531
Eliminate the Export Enhancement Program -$28 -$151 -$390
Total Corporate Subsidy Cuts -$2,073 -$7,431 -$14,187




Anti-Drug


Level Funding for Andean Counter-Drug Initiative -$9 -$48 -$125
Eliminate State Grants for Safe and Drug-Free Schools -$444 -$2,298 -$4,810
Eliminate the Federal Anti-Drug Advertising -$122 -$631 -$1,320
Eliminate High Intensity Drug Trafficking Area Program -$227 -$1,221 -$3,159
Total Anti-Drug Cuts -$802 -$4,198 -$9,414




Defense


Speed the Sale of Old and Excess Naval Vessels -$23 -$178 -$444
Consolidate the Military Exchanges -$76 -$796 -$1,882
Reduce DOD Administrative Accounts -$10 -$50 -$100
Restrict First-Responder Grants to At-Risk Communities -$630 -$3,260 -$6,826
Total Defense Cuts -$739 -$4,284 -$9,252




Farm Subsidies


Reduce Farm Payment Acreage by 1% -$31 -$452 -$941
Eliminate Payments to Socially Disadvantaged Farmers and Ranchers -$6 -$32 -$83
Eliminate Citrus Canker Compensation -$10 -$54 -$139
Level Funding for Agriculture Building and Facilities -$20 -$108 -$278
Eliminate the Foreign Market Development Program -$24 -$160 -$335
Total Farm Subsidies Cuts -$91 -$806 -$1,776




Total Proposed Spending Cuts -$102,172 -$369,899 -$949,674



I had to make some judgment calls categorizing a few of the proposed cuts. But I think that the main thrust of the document is clear.

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